Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.919586 4.671039 5.507770 6.505650 7.660274 8.951122 10.500274
2025-09-14 2.668967 3.581712 4.704879 6.177137 8.043214 10.315609 13.276420
2025-09-21 2.022251 2.996937 4.299298 6.141594 8.650696 11.914637 16.440951
2025-09-28 1.591300 2.572628 3.980816 6.106151 9.179809 13.400968 19.557780
2025-10-05 1.391723 2.422320 3.992456 6.492565 10.289321 15.735682 24.004316
2025-10-12 1.195546 2.230354 3.897262 6.685247 11.111009 17.712424 28.097516
2025-10-19 1.057208 2.101490 3.870814 6.963301 12.068783 19.949012 32.734768
2025-10-26 0.899337 1.905183 3.697166 6.967781 12.577219 21.525285 36.478581
2025-11-02 0.735834 1.664149 3.404750 6.722975 12.634275 22.375337 39.131086
2025-11-09 0.605108 1.459182 3.142174 6.487714 12.666836 23.166052 41.721021
2025-11-16 0.525222 1.342335 3.025970 6.499595 13.122463 24.680719 45.592043
2025-11-23 0.457788 1.238406 2.917970 6.509175 13.566532 26.198317 49.560923
2025-11-30 0.390792 1.123124 2.772438 6.433112 13.856117 27.492393 53.287557
2025-12-07 0.317240 0.974702 2.531204 6.128258 13.671544 27.917425 55.515419
2025-12-14 0.274292 0.894253 2.427895 6.099023 14.024298 29.350661 59.650681
2025-12-21 0.237510 0.821346 2.329479 6.065593 14.360827 30.772420 63.853854
2025-12-28 0.227497 0.822817 2.411684 6.450310 15.606453 34.029250 71.699346
2026-01-04 0.208676 0.793422 2.411484 6.642056 16.454447 36.562286 78.318291
2026-01-11 0.195385 0.778169 2.445402 6.918577 17.510879 39.579309 86.049481
2026-01-18 0.172640 0.726139 2.372312 6.923048 17.958989 41.391645 91.524410
2026-01-25 0.144380 0.646921 2.209728 6.679640 17.815669 41.969912 94.572951
2026-02-01 0.120744 0.576711 2.059399 6.445725 17.667054 42.518530 97.584043
2026-02-08 0.107221 0.540696 2.004209 6.457538 18.103425 44.341887 103.312063